I would even go as far as saying there will be no reduction at all. But today's campaigning is for the Democratic party and the complicated reality of the involvement of the US in Iraq is not something Clinton can tell the people in one speech, especially as the naked truth is never really a welcomed guest at party events. I guess Clinton and Obama have been briefed that they should be very cautious on this issue and use their most unspecific wording.
I am sure both Clinton and Obama are smart enough to realize that the reality in Iraq will be far more complex than they have articulated in the campaign, especially Clinton, I would say, who I think has been closer to real-world problems of this sort. I do think the next president, whoever he/she is, will continue to find Iraq a very troubling and complex issue. If we withdraw too soon, there will be complaints from the military and the right/center that all the gains, such as they are, of the past year or so will be lost. If we don't withdraw materially, the left will be up in arms and mutter betrayal.
Don : roger your comments.